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What this means. A wallet put $29.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.2k
BUY Yes @ 93¢ · 31,400 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet Vilgefortz took Yes (buy) for $29.2k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 93.0%
- Size
- $29.2k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 09:20 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Vilgefortz
- Tx
- 0x54b26059…
This wallet's graded record
9/9+27.0 pts
expected 6.6 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · now 93.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $31.3k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $16.5k | pending |