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What this means. A wallet put $34.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded
$34.7k
SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ · 34,876 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet seeyouontv took Yes (sell) for $34.7k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $34.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$34.7k
Placed
Feb 28, 21:04 EST
Market close
Mar 03, 19:58 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
seeyouontv
Tx
0x50020f28…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $34.7k WHALE $34.7K @ 99.6¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.5k0% Malfunction.235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% bosshog235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $161.5k
8.1× usual
0% Thomas58235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% randomlypunting235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% 100x235d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $89.9k0% alliswell235d agoexcluded