← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.3 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
SELL No @ 80¢ · 15,744 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet betwick took No (sell) for $12.6k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Sep 12, 05:22 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- betwick
- Tx
- 0x4ff34bc1…
This wallet's graded record
12/21-0.3 pts
expected 12.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 91.2¢ | $41.0k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $13.7k | called |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $10.3k | called |