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What this means. A wallet put $10.4k on France, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
France vs. Spain: Team to Advanceexcluded
$10.4k
BUY France @ 40¢ · 26,198 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet TB14 took France (buy) for $10.4k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+152American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
39.7%
As American odds
+152 no vig
Size
$10.4k
Placed
Jul 14, 15:23 EDT
Market close
Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
Spain
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
TB14
Tx
0x4e6c6440…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-44.9 pts
expected 2.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -40 pts
France price · entry 40¢ · resolved Spain
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $10.4k WHALE $10.4K @ 40¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $10.8k0% 0xf892…8acb101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $246.3k
5.0× usual
0% Hugewinner101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $10.7k0% NTSS101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $41.9k
2.9× usual
0% bigd17101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ $35.7k0% anon.1980.123101d agoexcluded
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ $51.6k
2.4× usual
0% machbut101d agoexcluded