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Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $17.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?excluded$17.0k
BUY Yes @ 30¢ · 56,548 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took Yes (buy) for $17.0k at an average 30¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $17.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 30¢ means
30%chance the market gave
+233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 30¢
- Implied odds
- 30.0%
- As American odds
- +233 no vig
- Size
- $17.0k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 16:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x4e513e43…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +70 ptsYes price · entry 30¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $297.5k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded |