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What this means. A wallet put $25.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded
$25.3k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 51,670 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x709e…66f5 took No (buy) for $25.3k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$25.3k
Placed
Jul 01, 15:58 EDT
Market close
Jul 01, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x709e…66f5
Tx
0x466a08db…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+24.9 pts
expected 4.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +51 pts
No price · entry 49¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $25.3k WHALE $25.3K @ 49¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $39.8k0% chizidahu114d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% LinkE5114d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $49.5k0% Netrol114d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?LOW SELL No @ 88¢ $17.7k12% winner877114d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?MED BUY No @ 90.5¢ $99.8k
3.8× usual
91% swisstony PROVEN114d agoexcluded
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?MED BUY No @ 88¢ $62.5k88% ethanaz114d agoexcluded