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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?excluded
$12.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.4¢ · 12,042 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther

What happened

Wallet Huludubu took Yes (sell) for $12.0k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
0.6%
Size
$12.0k
Placed
Jan 03, 04:40 EST
Market close
Jan 03, 07:14 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Huludubu
Tx
0x4393ea71…
This wallet's graded record
2/9-17.5 pts
expected 3.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
Yes price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $12.0k WHALE $12.0K @ 99.4¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $23.0k0% 0xf3d2…a162294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $509.8k
6.4× usual
100% Official-Market-Maker294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $14.2k0% 0x7cc9…b8a8294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
100% aviato294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.4k100% TeemuPukki294d agoexcluded
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $35.1k0% 0x5fe1…33e4294d agoexcluded