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What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
$14.3k
SELL No @ 98.9¢ · 14,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet 0xdd57…694d took No (sell) for $14.3k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.9¢
Implied odds
1.1%
Size
$14.3k
Placed
Nov 28, 09:42 EST
Market close
Dec 09, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xdd57…694d
Tx
0x41a8fc34…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+7.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.9¢ · $14.3k WHALE $14.3K @ 98.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $126.9k
6.2× usual
0% tourists318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $39.9k100% LlamaEnjoyer318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $225.2k100% 0x1db8…2d38318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $100.0k
2.6× usual
100% GayPride318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $11.1k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN318d agoexcluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $19.4k0% 0x562f…e46f318d agoexcluded