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Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $31.3k on Patriots, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)missed$31.3k
BUY Patriots @ 50¢ · 62,669 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet christianox took Patriots (buy) for $31.3k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Seahawks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $31.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Patriots wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $31.3k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 15:06 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 18:30 EST
- Result
- Seahawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- christianox
- Tx
- 0x40adb05a…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-9.5 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsPatriots price · entry 50¢ · resolved Seahawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $32.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99.9¢ | $48.5k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW SELL Seahawks @ 99¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 68¢ | $16.5k | excluded |