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What this means. A wallet put $56.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$56.3k
BUY Yes @ 93.3¢ · 60,334 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took Yes (buy) for $56.3k at an average 93.3¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $56.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1393American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 93.3¢
- Implied odds
- 93.3%
- Size
- $56.3k
- Placed
- Jan 12, 20:01 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0x3e15bd6e…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |