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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on France, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.9k
BUY France @ 60¢ · 33,178 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet mengshangzai took France (buy) for $19.9k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 08:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mengshangzai
- Tx
- 0x3df1399e…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-69.5 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsFrance price · entry 60¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ | $51.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |