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Thunder vs. Lakerscalled
What this means. A wallet put $41.5k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.5k
BUY Thunder @ 83¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet lIlIlIllllIIIII took Thunder (buy) for $41.5k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $41.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−488American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 83.0%
- As American odds
- −488 no vig
- Size
- $41.5k
- Placed
- May 11, 13:09 EDT
- Market close
- May 11, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lIlIlIllllIIIII
- Tx
- 0x3bfe458e…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+17.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +17 ptsThunder price · entry 83¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $19.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $31.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ | $127.7k 5.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 96¢ | $19.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99¢ | $47.2k | excluded |