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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +17.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+17.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$407.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±37.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$67.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $15.77M volume · 16,686 trades · since Mar 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.36M
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$1,845
Closed-position win rate
85%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
220d
754 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +17.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcd66d7…