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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.9k
BUY Yes @ 5.6¢ · 355,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x87c6…89b7 took Yes (buy) for $19.9k at an average 5.6¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 6¢ means
6%chance the market gave
+1686American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 5.6¢
- Implied odds
- 5.6%
- As American odds
- +1686 no vig
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 12:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 21:16 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x87c6…89b7
- Tx
- 0x3b24ff99…
This wallet's graded record
1/3+23.2 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsYes price · entry 5.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $107.6k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $20.0k | called |