0x87c6…89b7

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did +23.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+23.2 pts

Called / graded

1/3

Expected from price

0.3

Flagged volume

$183.5k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.3 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$242.8k

Last 30 days +$0 · $7.34M volume · 53 trades · since Aug 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$431.2k

Open P&L · 49 positions

−$170.5k

Closed-position win rate

70%

10 closed

Wallet age · markets

807d

17 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	1	0.3	+23.2 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 5.6¢	$19.9k	6%	120d ago	missed
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 2¢	$10.1k	2%	124d ago	excluded
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 1.5¢	$16.4k	1%	129d ago	excluded
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 0.9¢	$11.6k	1%	131d ago	excluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 16¢	$60.0k 3.7× usual	16%	140d ago	called
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 1.7¢	$12.1k	2%	155d ago	excluded
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	MED BUY Yes @ 8.9¢	$53.4k 3.3× usual	9%	155d ago	missed

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 5.6¢$19.9k

LOW 0x87c6…89b7 · 120d ago

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY Yes @ 2¢$10.1k

LOW 0x87c6…89b7 · 124d ago

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY Yes @ 1.5¢$16.4k

LOW 0x87c6…89b7 · 129d ago

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY Yes @ 0.9¢$11.6k

LOW 0x87c6…89b7 · 131d ago

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

BUY Yes @ 16¢$60.0k

MED 0x87c6…89b7 · 140d ago

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY Yes @ 1.7¢$12.1k

LOW 0x87c6…89b7 · 155d ago

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 8.9¢$53.4k

MED 0x87c6…89b7 · 155d ago

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