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What this means. A wallet put $160.7k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$160.7k
BUY Argentina @ 75¢ · 213,549 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100k3 fills in 1h2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ultrahypedmike took Argentina (buy) for $160.7k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $160.7k+2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−304American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.2%
- As American odds
- −304 no vig
- Size
- $160.7k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 19:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ultrahypedmike
- Tx
- 0x3abf16da…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-18.1 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsArgentina price · entry 75¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $189.2k 11.9× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |