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Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
SELL No @ 68¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Snpe took No (sell) for $10.2k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 31.8%
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Feb 02, 00:25 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 07:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Snpe
- Tx
- 0x38c5aa2b…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-42.5 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -32 ptsNo price · entry 68¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $42.9k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 32¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excludedBUY Yes @ 30¢$12.1k
LOW gmanas · 257d ago
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?excludedBUY Yes @ 32¢$31.3k
MED gmanas · 257d ago