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What this means. A wallet put $15.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.5k
SELL No @ 97.2¢ · 15,970 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (sell) for $15.5k at an average 97.2¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.2¢
- Implied odds
- 2.8%
- Size
- $15.5k
- Placed
- May 04, 14:36 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0x37e0613a…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $36.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $53.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |