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Sabres vs. Lightningcalled
What this means. A wallet put $46.5k on Lightning, at a price that gave it a 63% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+9.1 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.5k
BUY Lightning @ 63¢ · 73,755 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet weflyhigh took Lightning (buy) for $46.5k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 63% chance for that side. The market resolved Lightning, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $46.5k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 63¢ means
63%chance the market gave
−170American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lightning wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 63.0%
- As American odds
- −170 no vig
- Size
- $46.5k
- Placed
- Feb 03, 10:19 EST
- Market close
- Feb 03, 19:30 EST
- Result
- Lightning
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- weflyhigh
- Tx
- 0x35acb01e…
This wallet's graded record
19/29+9.1 pts
expected 16.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +37 ptsLightning price · entry 63¢ · resolved Lightning
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Lightning @ 54¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Sabres @ 46¢ | $39.5k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Sabres @ 35¢ | $13.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Lightning @ 65¢ | $27.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Lightning @ 63¢ | $161.0k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Lightning @ 64¢ | $16.3k | excluded |