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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 18,462 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet tony912 took Yes (buy) for $12.0k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jun 20, 07:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 20, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tony912
- Tx
- 0x3401e2a2…
This wallet's graded record
9/12+20.5 pts
expected 6.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $297.5k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k 2.0× usual |
excluded |