← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $169.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$169.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 170,000 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet7.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (sell) for $169.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $169.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $169.3k
- Placed
- Jul 24, 11:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0x320cf3d7…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $242.2k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $199.6k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |