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What this means. A wallet put $98.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$98.6k
BUY No @ 98.6¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet TraderSDG took No (buy) for $98.6k at an average 98.6¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $98.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7043American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.6¢
- Implied odds
- 98.6%
- As American odds
- −7043 no vig
- Size
- $98.6k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 07:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 18:14 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TraderSDG
- Tx
- 0x30ec43ba…
This wallet's graded record
8/8+4.5 pts
expected 7.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $711.9k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $37.5k | excluded |