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What this means. A wallet put $17.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.1k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 19,375 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet TwoTierKeir took No (buy) for $17.1k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−755American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.3%
- Size
- $17.1k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 18:54 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 19:55 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TwoTierKeir
- Tx
- 0x2f9e59fc…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+11.7 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsNo price · entry 88¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.6k | excluded |