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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
SELL Yes @ 93¢ · 11,029 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet coali10 took Yes (sell) for $10.3k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- As American odds
- +1329 no vig
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 17:57 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- coali10
- Tx
- 0x2f9da532…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+23.4 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsYes price · entry 93¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |