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What this means. A wallet put $18.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.7k
SELL No @ 62¢ · 30,024 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet AssuredAdverts took No (sell) for $18.7k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 37.8%
- Size
- $18.7k
- Placed
- Feb 08, 06:59 EST
- Market close
- Feb 07, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- AssuredAdverts
- Tx
- 0x2e60ef8c…
This wallet's graded record
1/11-29.5 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $54.5k | excluded |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.7k | excluded |