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What this means. A wallet put $61.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?called
$61.2k
BUY No @ 78¢ · 78,470 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.2× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet aenews2 took No (buy) for $61.2k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $61.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
78¢
Implied odds
78.0%
Size
$61.2k
Placed
Jun 18, 00:53 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
aenews2
Tx
0x2ce36611…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +22 pts
No price · entry 78¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 78¢ · $61.2k WHALE $61.2K @ 78¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% Valen9110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.6k0% 0x7131…29cc110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.8k0% djked110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% hymolu110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 0xce83…5b97110d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$10.3k
LOW Valen9 · 110d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$65.7k
LOW hymolu · 110d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$13.6k
LOW 0x7131…29cc · 110d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$17.8k
LOW djked · 110d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW hymolu · 110d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$11.2k
LOW 0xce83…5b97 · 110d ago