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Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?excluded$14.7k
SELL No @ 49¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet thestupidmoney took No (sell) for $14.7k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $14.7k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 15:44 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 01, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- thestupidmoney
- Tx
- 0x2cdcea34…
This wallet's graded record
6/13+2.5 pts
expected 5.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | LOW SELL No @ 88¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 90.5¢ | $99.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | MED BUY No @ 88¢ | $62.5k | excluded |