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What this means. A wallet put $36.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?excluded
$36.5k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 36,655 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet hymolu took No (sell) for $36.5k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $36.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$36.5k
Placed
Aug 09, 16:44 EDT
Market close
Aug 15, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
hymolu
Tx
0x2ca35b31…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+8.4 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.7¢ · $36.5k WHALE $36.5K @ 99.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% Tigerofthehood67d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.7k0% y6tfd68d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $159.8k
6.8× usual
0% Hashbrown69d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% SleeperHunter71d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $295.7k
3.8× usual
100% 03303303371d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% abccbaq72d agoexcluded