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What this means. A wallet put $159.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$159.8k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 160,003 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side6.8× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Hashbrown took No (sell) for $159.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $159.8k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $159.8k
- Placed
- Aug 15, 22:17 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Hashbrown
- Tx
- 0x39855fb2…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+6.9 pts
expected 6.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $295.7k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $89.8k | excluded |