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What this means. A wallet put $27.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.7k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 27,931 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet BTCGOOSE took No (sell) for $27.7k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.2¢
- Implied odds
- 0.8%
- Size
- $27.7k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 15:42 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BTCGOOSE
- Tx
- 0x2c4fea9c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-22.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsNo price · entry 99.2¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |