← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $29.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.3k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet thoodr took No (buy) for $29.3k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $29.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4444American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- Size
- $29.3k
- Placed
- Aug 04, 05:06 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thoodr
- Tx
- 0x2b4e2544…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+5.2 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $159.8k 6.8× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $295.7k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |