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Eagles vs. Bearsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $31.2k on Bears, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Eagles vs. Bearsexcluded$31.2k
BUY Bears @ 78¢ · 40,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet TAIWANNUMBERONE took Bears (buy) for $31.2k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bears wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.0%
- As American odds
- −355 no vig
- Size
- $31.2k
- Placed
- Sep 28, 22:18 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- TAIWANNUMBERONE
- Tx
- 0x2b27d85e…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+4.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 99.8¢ | $56.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 74¢ | $85.9k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 61¢ | $80.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 49¢ | $92.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |