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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$163.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$17.1k
Last 30 days −$41.3k · $2.00M volume · 912 trades · since Aug 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$95.7k
Open P&L · 39 positions
−$107.5k
Closed-position win rate
71%
253 closed
Wallet age · markets
80d
310 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Eagles vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 84¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW SELL Eagles @ 16¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 65¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Eagles vs. Bears | LOW BUY Eagles @ 66¢ | $31.0k | missed |
| Falcons vs. Packers | LOW BUY Falcons @ 80¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Raiders vs. Chargers | LOW BUY Raiders @ 81¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
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