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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
BUY No @ 74¢ · 14,329 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet twe2nty took No (buy) for $10.6k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 74.0%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Jan 29, 07:32 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- twe2nty
- Tx
- 0x2b238fd1…
This wallet's graded record
6/9+6.4 pts
expected 5.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +26 ptsNo price · entry 74¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $27.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |