← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet SMCAOMCRL took Yes (sell) for $30.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Apr 21, 17:27 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 21, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- SMCAOMCRL
- Tx
- 0x295ef86a…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+7.8 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $353.9k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ | $21.9k | excluded |