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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
SELL No @ 62¢ · 19,721 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet wan123 took No (sell) for $12.2k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Sep 10, 08:46 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0x24448c4e…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsNo price · entry 62¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 14¢ | $31.9k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 89¢ | $30.3k | excluded |