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Hawks vs. Hornetsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $31.6k on Hornets, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Hawks vs. Hornetsexcluded$31.6k
BUY Hornets @ 45¢ · 70,327 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BreakTheBank took Hornets (buy) for $31.6k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Hawks. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $31.6k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hornets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 45.0%
- As American odds
- +122 no vig
- Size
- $31.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 18:58 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Hawks
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BreakTheBank
- Tx
- 0x24089867…
This wallet's graded record
12/22+12.2 pts
expected 9.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -45 ptsHornets price · entry 45¢ · resolved Hawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 95¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | HIGH BUY Hornets @ 44¢ | $122.8k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 57¢ | $28.5k | called |