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Hawks vs. Hornetsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $122.8k on Hornets, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Hawks vs. Hornetsmissed$122.8k
BUY Hornets @ 44¢ · 279,204 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hProven wallet2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet BreakTheBank took Hornets (buy) for $122.8k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Hawks, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $122.8k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hornets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $122.8k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 17:51 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Hawks
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BreakTheBank
- Tx
- 0x1aff92f8…
This wallet's graded record
12/22+12.2 pts
expected 9.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsHornets price · entry 44¢ · resolved Hawks
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 95¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢ | $28.0k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | MED BUY Hornets @ 45¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 56¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hawks @ 57¢ | $28.5k | called |