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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
BUY No @ 48¢ · 30,417 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet StasPanda took No (buy) for $14.6k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Sep 04, 11:59 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 05, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- StasPanda
- Tx
- 0x23fc937d…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+7.1 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +52 ptsNo price · entry 48¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $145.9k 5.0× usual |
missed |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $44.0k | missed |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.4k | missed |