← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet CORGII took Yes (buy) for $15.0k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−101American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.2%
- As American odds
- −101 no vig
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Sep 05, 12:30 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 05, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- CORGII
- Tx
- 0x1dbfe7a1…
This wallet's graded record
5/6+40.3 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -50 ptsYes price · entry 50¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $145.9k 5.0× usual |
missed |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $44.0k | missed |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-05? | LOW BUY No @ 48¢ | $14.6k | called |