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What this means. A wallet put $302.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$302.7k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 302,964 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh wallet2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet jonjones1993 took Yes (sell) for $302.7k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $302.7k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $302.7k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 17:50 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- jonjones1993
- Tx
- 0x238cf7e1…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k | excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $38.5k | called |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $72.4k 3.1× usual |
called |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $18.0k | called |