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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$562.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$101.5k
Last 30 days +$165.9k · $2.40M volume · 508 trades · since Oct 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$418.6k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$311.6k
Closed-position win rate
80%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
10d
14 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $302.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k | excluded |
 Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5) | MED BUY Aston Villa FC @ 43¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $77.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xce937f…