← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $18.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It won. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.0k
BUY Yes @ 49¢ · 36,647 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet plonker2026 took Yes (buy) for $18.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 49.0%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $18.0k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 04:58 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- plonker2026
- Tx
- 0xc3f72bd8…
This wallet's graded record
4/16-20.4 pts
expected 7.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +51 ptsYes price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $302.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k | excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $38.5k | called |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $72.4k 3.1× usual |
called |