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What this means. A wallet put $38.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It won. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.5k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 71,982 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet plonker2026 took Yes (buy) for $38.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−115American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.4%
- As American odds
- −115 no vig
- Size
- $38.5k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 13:52 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- plonker2026
- Tx
- 0x6d0abd97…
This wallet's graded record
4/15-18.4 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsYes price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $302.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $162.0k | excluded |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $72.4k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $18.0k | called |