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What this means. A wallet put $60.8k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$60.8k
BUY Spain @ 40¢ · 150,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet hot2trot took Spain (buy) for $60.8k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $60.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+147American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.5%
- As American odds
- +147 no vig
- Size
- $60.8k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 04:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hot2trot
- Tx
- 0x1f8badeb…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-11.6 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsSpain price · entry 40¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ | $51.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |