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What this means. A wallet put $21.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.6k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 21,619 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 took Yes (buy) for $21.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $21.6k
- Placed
- Mar 03, 06:56 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965
- Tx
- 0x1f83a2fc…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $28.3k | excluded |