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What this means. A wallet put $51.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$51.6k
BUY No @ 99.1¢ · 52,042 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x5bff…ffbe took No (buy) for $51.6k at an average 99.1¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $51.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11004American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.1¢
- Implied odds
- 99.1%
- Size
- $51.6k
- Placed
- Apr 02, 23:23 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x5bff…ffbe
- Tx
- 0x1ebb7bfc…
This wallet's graded record
15/18+1.5 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $239.8k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $277.4k 10.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $339.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |