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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?excluded
$14.0k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 14,455 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet gopfan2 took No (buy) for $14.0k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3234American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97¢
Implied odds
97.0%
Size
$14.0k
Placed
Nov 25, 10:39 EST
Market close
Nov 27, 19:33 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gopfan2
Tx
0x1c509ac8…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+4.1 pts
expected 5.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
No price · entry 97¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97¢ · $14.0k WHALE $14.0K @ 97¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $35.6k0% debased331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $74.9k
2.1× usual
0% tsybka331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% aenews2 LOSING331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% classified331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $38.2k100% tsybka331d agoexcluded
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.4k100% debased331d agoexcluded