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What this means. A wallet put $104.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?excluded
$104.7k
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ · 104,941 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet PowellTheKing took Yes (buy) for $104.7k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $104.7k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$104.7k
Placed
Jun 16, 21:10 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
PowellTheKing
Tx
0x18d14d5f…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% doQysuW7L9-U6xMX8Qgv129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $134.9k
2.7× usual
0% Ordon129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% 0xcf19…6402129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.2k100% 2Sherlock129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k100% 0x3670…34f9129d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $110.4k100% farminglabs129d agoexcluded