← Live flags
Lions vs. Billsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $97.2k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Billsexcluded$97.2k
BUY Bills @ 75¢ · 129,625 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Bills (buy) for $97.2k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $97.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.0%
- As American odds
- −300 no vig
- Size
- $97.2k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 20:24 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0x15e84334…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsBills price · entry 75¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $85.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ | $71.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |